Why are Republicans so concerned with Obamacare?
Well, because that is most likely the only chance the Republican Party will have to win the 2016 presidential election.
Part of the reason why the 2012 election was so incredibly important for both parties was that most realized that the economy would be a lot better in 2016 no matter who was in office between 2012 and 2016.
After the epic economic collapse of 2008, most economists predicted that it would take between 8 and 15 years for the U.S. economy to fully return, and of course 2016 is right at that eight year mark.
So, no matter who won the 2012 election, the economy was going to slowly tick upwards for the next four years.
If Mitt Romney had won the election, by 2016 he would have been considered the new Ronald Reagan because unemployment would have been down, housing prices would have been up, the markets would have been up, etc. Romney would have been seen as America’s economy savior, which of course would have won the Republic Party a huge amount of political capital moving forward.
But, Barack Obama won the 2012 election, and just as predicted the economy has been slowly improving. Unemployment has been ticking downwards, housing prices have increased across most of the nation, the stock market is booming at the moment, etc.
This slow but steady improvement is likely to continue for the next four years, at which point the 2016 Democratic candidate will be able to say “We took over an economy with an eight percent unemployment rate, hundreds of thousands of jobs being shed each month, a market in turmoil and a housing market that had completely crashed. Eight years later the unemployment rate is at 4.5 percent, hundreds of thousands of jobs are being added each month, the stock market is booming as is the housing market, etc.”
Even though this trend would most likely have occurred no matter who was in office between 2012 and 2016, a Republican candidate is going to have a heck of a hard time combating how the economy tanked under the last Republican administration and has gone back to full steam ahead after eight years of a Democratic administration.
And that brings us to Obamacare.
The Republicans’ only real chance of winning the 2016 presidential election is if Obamacare is such a complete and utter disaster that, despite an economy that will likely be very healthy by 2016, people will be willing to vote in a Republican candidate just to get rid of this new healthcare system.
If healthcare costs skyrocket, doctors’ offices are overcrowded, companies are cutting employee hours so they don’t have to provide healthcare coverage, etc. then people might just be mad enough to vote in a Republican in order to overturn Obamacare.
That is why the Republican Party has not let up one bit in this ongoing battle against Obamacare almost three years after it was written into law. This is the GOP’s key to winning the 2016 presidential election.
This is also why the implementation of Obamacare is such a hugely important issue for the Obama Administration and the Democratic Party.
Should Obamacare work as advertised, or even if it just isn’t a complete disaster, AND the economy is booming in 2016…well, we might as well start moving Bill and Hillary back into the White House for at least another four years.
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